nukeNBA Sim

Cumulative profit$100 PER LINE

By marketSETTLED

By edge sizeDOES A BIGGER EDGE PAY MORE?

Model healthBRIER SCORE · LOWER IS BETTER

Player propsRECORD AND ACCURACY · NOT BET

Prop projectionsFANDUEL MAIN LINES · HOW CLOSE THE SIM CAME

For every FanDuel main prop line on a player who played: the simulated average (projection) against the box score, how often the sim's side of the line hit, and the Brier score of the sim's over probability next to FanDuel's no-vig price (lower is better).

Game by gameFINAL SCORE VS SIM · EVERY MAIN PROP LINE

Game-line trade log

Backtest referenceBEFORE LIVE TRACKING · DRAFTKINGS CLOSING PRICES

Moneyline accuracyWalk-forward backtest pending.
Sim's side, moneyline—
Player propsBacktest 2025-27, 23,857 player-games: the sim beat a recent-average baseline in all 11 prop categories (points over/under Brier .247 vs .271). FanDuel prop prices are tracked live from launch.